Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1

Mar 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 2
Bala Town

Hughes (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Peate (40'), Venables (70')
Peate (48')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

Last Six:

Last Game: Flint Town 1-1 Newtown
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Connah's Quay Nomads	33	14	53
4	Newtown AFC	32	15	51
5	Caernarfon Town	32	6	49

Bala Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Bala Town 11-0 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	The New Saints	32	60	80
2	Bala Town	32	30	59
3	Connah's Quay Nomads	33	14	53

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFC	Draw	Bala Town
30.04%	24.41%	45.55%

Both teams to score 57.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.19%

44.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.83%

67.17%

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.94%

28.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.29%

63.71%

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.2%

19.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.14%

51.86%

Score Analysis

Newtown AFC 30.04%

Bala Town 45.56%

Draw 24.4%

Newtown AFC	Draw	Bala Town
2-1 @ 7.27% 1-0 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.04%	1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.4%	1-2 @ 9.26% 0-1 @ 9% 0-2 @ 7.29% 1-3 @ 5% 0-3 @ 3.93% 2-3 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 3% Total : 45.56%