Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7

Apr 9, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 0
Connah's Quay

Mwandwe (38')
Ismail (29')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Donohue (38')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

Last Six:

Last Game: Flint Town 1-1 Newtown
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Connah's Quay Nomads	33	14	53
4	Newtown AFC	32	15	51
5	Caernarfon Town	32	6	49

Connah's Quay Nomads

Last Six:

Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Bala Town	32	30	59
3	Connah's Quay Nomads	33	14	53
4	Newtown AFC	32	15	51

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFC	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
50.68%	23.62%	25.71%

Both teams to score 56.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.78%

44.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.4%

66.6%

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.48%

17.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.97%

48.03%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.09%

30.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.8%

67.2%

Score Analysis

Newtown AFC 50.68%

Connah's Quay Nomads 25.71%

Draw 23.61%

Newtown AFC	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 9.65% 1-0 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 8.22% 3-1 @ 5.6% 3-0 @ 4.77% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.44% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.78% Total : 50.68%	1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 5.66% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.61%	1-2 @ 6.5% 0-1 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.89% Total : 25.71%