Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5

Apr 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Deeside Stadium

Connah's Quay
0 - 3
New Saints

Bradley (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Robles (56', 72'), Astles (70')
Davies (77')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

Last Six:

Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Bala Town	32	30	59
3	Connah's Quay Nomads	33	14	53
4	Newtown AFC	32	15	51

The New Saints

Last Six:

Last Game: New Saints 3-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	The New Saints	32	60	80
2	Bala Town	32	30	59
3	Connah's Quay Nomads	33	14	53

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 80.76%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 6.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.11%) and 0-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.94%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 1-0 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay Nomads	Draw	The New Saints
6.65%	12.59%	80.76%

Both teams to score 46.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.61%

32.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.97%

54.03%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.05%

49.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.37%

84.63%

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.86%

6.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.71%

23.29%

Score Analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 6.65%

The New Saints 80.75%

Draw 12.59%

Connah's Quay Nomads	Draw	The New Saints
1-0 @ 2.13% 2-1 @ 2.06% Other @ 2.45% Total : 6.65%	1-1 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 3.07% 2-2 @ 2.88% Other @ 0.7% Total : 12.59%	0-2 @ 11.94% 0-3 @ 11.11% 0-1 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-4 @ 7.75% 1-3 @ 7.71% 1-4 @ 5.38% 0-5 @ 4.33% 1-5 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-6 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 1.87% 1-6 @ 1.4% 2-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.67% Total : 80.75%