Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 69.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 12.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-Bont	Draw	The New Saints
12.54%	18.06%	69.4%

Both teams to score 51.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.23%

39.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.87%

62.12%

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.22%

42.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.89%

79.1%

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.64%

10.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.15%

33.85%

Score Analysis

Pen-y-Bont 12.54%

The New Saints 69.38%

Draw 18.06%

Pen-y-Bont	Draw	The New Saints
1-0 @ 3.76% 2-1 @ 3.62% 2-0 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.16% 3-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.37% Total : 12.54%	1-1 @ 8.53% 0-0 @ 4.43% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.99% Total : 18.06%	0-2 @ 11.39% 0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-3 @ 8.61% 1-3 @ 7.31% 0-4 @ 4.88% 1-4 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 3.1% 0-5 @ 2.21% 1-5 @ 1.88% 2-4 @ 1.76% Other @ 4.38% Total : 69.38%