Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9

Apr 18, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 2
New Saints

Roberts (48'), Walker (76'), Ismail (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Brobbel (64'), Canavan (90+2')
Williams (84')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

Last Six:

Last Game: Flint Town 1-1 Newtown
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Connah's Quay Nomads	33	14	53
4	Newtown AFC	32	15	51
5	Caernarfon Town	32	6	49

The New Saints

Last Six:

Last Game: New Saints 3-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	The New Saints	32	60	80
2	Bala Town	32	30	59
3	Connah's Quay Nomads	33	14	53

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 62.6%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 16.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-0 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFC	Draw	The New Saints
16.38%	21.01%	62.6%

Both teams to score 51.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.14%

44.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.79%

67.21%

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.47%

40.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.87%

77.13%

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.27%

13.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.01%

40.99%

Score Analysis

Newtown AFC 16.38%

The New Saints 62.59%

Draw 21.01%

Newtown AFC	Draw	The New Saints
1-0 @ 5.03% 2-1 @ 4.51% 2-0 @ 2.27% 3-1 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.87% Total : 16.38%	1-1 @ 9.98% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 1% Total : 21.01%	0-1 @ 11.04% 0-2 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-3 @ 7.26% 1-3 @ 6.56% 0-4 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.96% 2-4 @ 1.47% 0-5 @ 1.43% 1-5 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.84% Total : 62.59%