Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13

Nov 9, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Latham Park

Newtown
3 - 3
Bala Town

Evans (53', 80'), Rushton (75')
Walker (33'), Jones (52')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Peate (51', 86'), Nalatche Mendes (58')
Southern (3'), Ramsey (54')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Bala Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFC	Draw	Bala Town
40.65%	24.41%	34.94%

Both teams to score 59.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.89%

43.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.49%

65.51%

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.71%

21.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.78%

54.22%

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.78%

24.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.43%

58.57%

Score Analysis

Newtown AFC 40.65%

Bala Town 34.94%

Draw 24.41%

Newtown AFC	Draw	Bala Town
2-1 @ 8.75% 1-0 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-2 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.65% Total : 40.65%	1-1 @ 11.31% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.41%	1-2 @ 8.02% 0-1 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.94%

How you voted: Newtown vs Bala Town

Newtown AFC

60.0%

Draw

20.0%

Bala Town

20.0%

Newtown3 - 3Bala Town

Data Analysis

How you voted: Newtown vs Bala Town

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Newtown
3 - 3
Bala Town