Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 15.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.