Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 

Bala Town
0 - 4
Connah's Quay


Ramsey (45'), (63'), Shannon (65')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Morris (3' pen., 59'), Curran (24'), Harrington (49')
Eardley (11')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
31.71%25.9%42.4%
Both teams to score 53.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.4%50.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49%72.52%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17%29.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08%65.92%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31%23.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2%57.81%
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 31.71%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 42.39%
    Draw 25.9%
Bala TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 8.55%
2-1 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 5.17%
3-1 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.16%
3-0 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 31.71%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 7.07%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-2 @ 7.33%
1-3 @ 4.26%
0-3 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 2.57%
1-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 42.39%