NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Apr 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
1 - 2
Linfield

Forsythe (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Callacher (35'), Devine (70')
Vertainen (51'), (85')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

Last Six:
Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Larne
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Linfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Coleraine
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (11.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawLinfield
33.98%29.12%36.9%
Both teams to score 44.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.7%62.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.04%81.96%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71%34.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.01%70.99%
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.65%32.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.14%68.86%
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 33.97%
    Linfield 36.89%
    Draw 29.11%
CrusadersDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 11.87%
2-1 @ 7.17%
2-0 @ 6.36%
3-1 @ 2.56%
3-0 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 33.97%
1-1 @ 13.39%
0-0 @ 11.09%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.11%
0-1 @ 12.51%
1-2 @ 7.56%
0-2 @ 7.06%
1-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 36.89%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm
Linfield
3-2
Crusaders
McKee (20'), Shields (45+1' pen.), Devine (90+4')
(58'), Shields (82')
McMurray (25'), Kennedy (59' pen.)
(45'), (45+3')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
2-1
Linfield
Heatley (51'), Kennedy (83')
McMurray (25'), Caddell (64'), Robinson (73')
Manzinga (42')
Manzinga (62'), Stewart (79')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Linfield
2-0
Crusaders
Manzinga (31', 52')
(83')

Joe Burns (24'), Frazer (26'), (83'), Larmour (90+5')
May 4, 2021 7.45pm
Linfield
3-1
Crusaders
Stafford (15'), Lavery (58'), Forsythe (84' og.)
Kennedy (47')
Caddell (66'), Joe Burns (71')
Mar 19, 2021 7.45pm
Crusaders
1-2
Linfield
Clarke (16')
Weir (12'), O'Rourke (65')
O'Rourke (90+4')
Cooper (53'), Lavery (66')
Callacher (49'), Haughey (67'), Lavery (90+4')