Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Ballymena United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Larne
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Glentoran | 38 | 24 | 71 |
| 4 | Crusaders | 38 | 24 | 68 |
| 5 | Larne | 38 | 22 | 62 |
Last Game: Dungannon 1-2 Ballymena
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Glenavon | 38 | 4 | 54 |
| 7 | Ballymena United | 38 | -6 | 53 |
| 8 | Coleraine | 38 | 10 | 51 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 63.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 14.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.79%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 63.4% | 22.05% | 14.54% |
| Both teams to score 44.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
