NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 

Crusaders
2 - 1
Ballymena

Lowry (9'), McMurray (65')
Forsythe (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Strain (52')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

Last Six:
Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Larne
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Ballymena United

Last Six:
Last Game: Dungannon 1-2 Ballymena
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 63.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 14.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.79%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawBallymena United
63.4%22.05%14.54%
Both teams to score 44.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58%52.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9%74.1%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03%15.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.74%45.25%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.39%47.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.06%82.94%
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 63.39%
    Ballymena United 14.54%
    Draw 22.05%
CrusadersDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 13.94%
2-0 @ 12.79%
2-1 @ 9.5%
3-0 @ 7.82%
3-1 @ 5.81%
4-0 @ 3.59%
4-1 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 2.16%
5-0 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 0.99%
5-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 63.39%
1-1 @ 10.35%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 22.05%
0-1 @ 5.64%
1-2 @ 3.84%
0-2 @ 2.09%
1-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 14.54%

How you voted: Crusaders vs Ballymena

Crusaders
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Ballymena United
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Ballymena
2-0
Crusaders
Winchester (58'), McElroy (90+1')
Winchester (43')

Larmour (20'), (88'), (90+5')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Ballymena
0-1
Crusaders
O'Rourke (13')
Joe Burns (86'), Wilson (87'), Weir (89')
Apr 2, 2021 7.30pm
Ballymena
0-1
Crusaders
Wilson (75')
Brown (78')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
2-1
Ballymena
McGonigle (43'), Heatley (46')
Larmour (33'), O'Rourke (85'), Heatley (90')
McCready (12')
Ervin (83')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Ballymena
1-4
Crusaders
McElroy (24')
Harpur (35'), Strain (43'), Hume (65'), Winchester (77'), McElroy (84')
Clarke (48'), Owens (53', 78'), Caddell (83')
Lowry (69'), Thompson (72')