Dungannon
2 - 4
Crusaders

Campbell (4'), Gallagher (90+3')
Breen (10'), Knowles (36'), (88')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lecky (11'), Heatley (25', 80'), Doyle (86')
Thompson (55')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 20.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 2-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Dungannon Swifts	Draw	Crusaders
20.99%	21.51%	57.5%

Both teams to score 58.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.2%

39.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.85%

62.15%

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.47%

32.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.94%

69.06%

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.36%

13.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.18%

40.82%

Score Analysis

Dungannon Swifts 20.99%

Crusaders 57.5%

Draw 21.51%

Dungannon Swifts	Draw	Crusaders
2-1 @ 5.58% 1-0 @ 4.99% 2-0 @ 2.8% 3-1 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 2.08% 3-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.42% Total : 20.99%	1-1 @ 9.93% 2-2 @ 5.55% 0-0 @ 4.44% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.51%	1-2 @ 9.89% 0-1 @ 8.84% 0-2 @ 8.81% 1-3 @ 6.57% 0-3 @ 5.85% 2-3 @ 3.69% 1-4 @ 3.27% 0-4 @ 2.91% 2-4 @ 1.84% 1-5 @ 1.3% 0-5 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.39% Total : 57.5%