NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 32
Mar 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
 

Crusaders
2 - 1
Warrenpoint

Doyle (81'), Lowry (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
O'Sullivan (86')
(90+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Warrenpoint Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

Last Six:
Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Larne
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Warrenpoint Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Glenavon 1-2 Warrenpoint
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 81.23%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 5.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.94%) and 1-0 (12.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 0-1 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawWarrenpoint Town
81.23%13.3%5.47%
Both teams to score 36.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29%41.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.88%64.11%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.97%8.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.71%28.29%
Warrenpoint Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.71%60.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.2%90.8%
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 81.21%
    Warrenpoint Town 5.47%
    Draw 13.3%
CrusadersDrawWarrenpoint Town
2-0 @ 15.39%
3-0 @ 12.94%
1-0 @ 12.21%
4-0 @ 8.16%
2-1 @ 7.79%
3-1 @ 6.55%
4-1 @ 4.13%
5-0 @ 4.12%
5-1 @ 2.08%
6-0 @ 1.73%
3-2 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 81.21%
1-1 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 4.84%
2-2 @ 1.97%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 13.3%
0-1 @ 2.45%
1-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 5.47%

Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Warrenpoint
0-1
Crusaders

Maguire (56'), Byrne (60'), (87')
Clarke (74')
Hegarty (40'), Heatley (90')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Warrenpoint
2-4
Crusaders
O'Sullivan (32' pen., 52')
(25'), (38'), (80')
Byrne (80')
McMurray (17'), Lecky (27'), Heatley (63'), Kennedy (85')
(29'), (69'), (70'), (78')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
0-2
Warrenpoint

McGonigle (85')
Swan (29'), Doyle (34')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
4-0
Warrenpoint
Lecky (21'), Heatley (71', 76', 81')
McGonigle (39')

Byrne (32'), Swan (76')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Warrenpoint
0-1
Crusaders
Heatley (9')
Joe Burns (90')