Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Crusaders.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Coleraine
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Linfield | 38 | 43 | 83 |
| 2 | Cliftonville | 38 | 32 | 82 |
| 3 | Glentoran | 38 | 24 | 71 |
Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Larne
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Glentoran | 38 | 24 | 71 |
| 4 | Crusaders | 38 | 24 | 68 |
| 5 | Larne | 38 | 22 | 62 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Crusaders |
| 61.9% | 22.73% | 15.37% |
| Both teams to score 43.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.44% | 53.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.93% | 75.07% |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.13% | 16.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.11% | 46.89% |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.88% | 47.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.42% | 82.58% |
| Score Analysis |
Linfield 61.89%
Crusaders 15.37%
Draw 22.73%
| Linfield | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 14.14% 2-0 @ 12.58% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 5.62% 4-0 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.12% 5-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.54% Total : 61.89% | 1-1 @ 10.64% 0-0 @ 7.95% 2-2 @ 3.56% Other @ 0.58% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 5.98% 1-2 @ 4.01% 0-2 @ 2.25% 1-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.13% Total : 15.37% |
How you voted: Linfield vs Crusaders
Linfield
70.0%Draw
0.0%Crusaders
30.0%10
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Linfield
2-0
Crusaders
Manzinga (31', 52')
(83')
(83')
Joe Burns (24'), Frazer (26'), (83'), Larmour (90+5')
May 4, 2021 7.45pm
Linfield
3-1
Crusaders
Kennedy (47')
Caddell (66'), Joe Burns (71')
Caddell (66'), Joe Burns (71')
Feb 6, 2021 5.30pm
Form Guide


