Cliftonville
3 - 1
Crusaders

Addis (13'), Curran (45+1'), Ives (79')
Kearns (65')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Robinson (42')
Heatley (30'), Lowry (70'), O'Rourke (76')
Caddell (27')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Cliftonville and Crusaders.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.

Result
Cliftonville	Draw	Crusaders
43.2%	28.24%	28.56%

Both teams to score 45.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.41%

60.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.32%

80.68%

Cliftonville Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.17%

27.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.58%

63.41%

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.61%

37.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.83%

74.17%

Score Analysis

Cliftonville 43.19%

Crusaders 28.56%

Draw 28.23%

Cliftonville	Draw	Crusaders
1-0 @ 13.3% 2-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 8.38% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-1 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.74% Total : 43.19%	1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.23%	0-1 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.74% Total : 28.56%