NIFL Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Adam Lecky 59' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 90'+6' goal
  • goal Adam Lecky 63' (OG)

Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders 0 - 0 Glenavon
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Ben Kennedy

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm
Warrenpoint 4 - 2 Carrick
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jordan Gibson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 71.14%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 10.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.9%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result

Crusaders 71.14%
Draw 18.04%
Carrick Rangers 10.82%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.72%
Under 2.5 44.28%
Over 3.5 33.34%
Under 3.5 66.66%

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 88.85%
Under 0.5 11.15%
Over 1.5 64.39%
Under 1.5 35.61%

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 51.32%
Under 0.5 48.68%
Over 1.5 16.28%
Under 1.5 83.72%

Score analysis

Crusaders 71.13%
Draw 18.04%
Carrick Rangers 10.82%
Crusaders
2-0 @ 13.06%
1-0 @ 11.9%
3-0 @ 9.55%
2-1 @ 9.4%
3-1 @ 6.88%
4-0 @ 5.24%
4-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 2.48%
5-0 @ 2.3%
5-1 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 71.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.57%
0-0 @ 5.43%
2-2 @ 3.39%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 18.04%
Carrick Rangers
0-1 @ 3.91%
1-2 @ 3.09%
0-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 10.82%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 21
Jan 1, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jarlath O'Rourke 28' yellowcard
  • Paul Heatley 56' yellowcard
  • Declan Caddell 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Cushley 51'
  • yellowcard Steven Gordon 57'
  • yellowcard Kyle Cherry 61'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 9
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lloyd Anderson 51' yellowcard
  • Daniel Kelly 53' yellowcard
  • David Cushley 55' yellowcard
  • Mark Surgenor 58' yellowcard
  • Jim Ervin 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 29'
  • goal Paul Heatley 69'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 75'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 29
Apr 6, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Cathair Friel 64' goal
  • Kyle Cherry 67' yellowcard
  • Cathair Friel 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie McGonigle 4'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 11
Mar 9, 2021 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Daniel Kelly 10' goal
  • Michael Smith 39' yellowcard
  • Kyle Cherry 63' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie McGonigle 12'
  • yellowcard Chris Hegarty 25'
  • goal Chris Hegarty 48'
  • goal Michael Ruddy 56'
  • yellowcard Paul Heatley 76'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 21
Feb 13, 2021 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Philip Lowry 78' goal
  • Jordan Forsythe 86' redcard
  • goal Jonathan Frazer 11'
  • goal Jonathan Frazer 50'
  • goal Caolan Loughran 87'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 33
Mar 21, 2020 3.00pm
Loughshore Hotel Arena