NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 29
Mar 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Taylors Avenue

Carrick
1 - 2
Linfield

Gibson (69')
Glendinning (28'), Cushley (51'), (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Scully (3' og.), McKee (36')
(62'), (84'), (90+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

Last Six:
Last Game: Portadown 0-5 Carrick
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Linfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Coleraine
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 67.8%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 13.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.33%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLinfield
13.4%18.8%67.8%
Both teams to score 51.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.92%41.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.53%63.48%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.71%42.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.32%78.69%
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.87%11.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.43%35.58%
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 13.4%
    Linfield 67.79%
    Draw 18.8%
Carrick RangersDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 4.05%
2-1 @ 3.83%
2-0 @ 1.74%
3-2 @ 1.21%
3-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 13.4%
1-1 @ 8.9%
0-0 @ 4.71%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 18.8%
0-2 @ 11.34%
0-1 @ 10.33%
1-2 @ 9.76%
0-3 @ 8.3%
1-3 @ 7.15%
0-4 @ 4.56%
1-4 @ 3.92%
2-3 @ 3.08%
0-5 @ 2%
1-5 @ 1.72%
2-4 @ 1.69%
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 67.79%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Linfield
2-0
Carrick
Shields (80' pen.), Millar (90')

Cherry (79'), Glendinning (82')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Linfield
4-0
Carrick
Manzinga (26', 34'), Roscoe (29'), Donnelly (37')
(30')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Linfield
7-0
Carrick
Lavery (14', 20' pen., 54'), Millar (28'), Newberry (32'), Palmer (73'), Stewart (74')
Cooper (90+3')

Ramsey (90+2')
Feb 9, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
1-1
Linfield
Kelly (84')
Ramsey (60')
Lavery (2')
Cooper (54')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Linfield
5-1
Carrick
Waterworth (3', 13', 72'), Callacher (57'), McGivern (63')
Loughran (25' pen.)
Surgenor (54')