NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds
Ballymena3 - 0Carrick
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dungannon 1-2 Ballymena
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Glenavon | 38 | 4 | 54 |
| 7 | Ballymena United | 38 | -6 | 53 |
| 8 | Coleraine | 38 | 10 | 51 |
Last Game: Portadown 0-5 Carrick
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Dungannon Swifts | 38 | -40 | 35 |
| 10 | Carrick Rangers | 38 | -26 | 34 |
| 11 | Portadown | 38 | -43 | 25 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 57.93% | 22.52% | 19.54% |
| Both teams to score 52.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.68% | 46.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.4% | 68.6% |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% | 15.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.23% | 44.77% |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.28% | 37.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.5% | 74.49% |
| Score Analysis |
Ballymena United 57.93%
Carrick Rangers 19.54%
Draw 22.52%
| Ballymena United | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% 2-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.27% 3-1 @ 6.11% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-0 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 2.83% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-0 @ 1.07% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.34% Total : 57.93% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.77% 1-2 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 2.81% 1-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.57% Total : 19.54% |
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
3-0
Ballymena
Cushley (40', 65' pen.), Kelly (78')
Gawne (73')
Gawne (73')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
May 4, 2021 7.30pm
Mar 30, 2021 7.45pm
Ballymena
2-0
Carrick
Gordon (36' og.), McCartan (81')
Form Guide


