NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • David Parkhouse 6' goal
  • Mark Surgenor 8' goal
  • Leroy Millar 25' goal
  • Ryan Strain 43' yellowcard

Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Ballymena 0 - 1 Warrenpoint
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Paul McElroy

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick 0 - 1 Glenavon
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jordan Gibson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result

Ballymena United 57.93%
Draw 22.52%
Carrick Rangers 19.54%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 53.68%
Under 2.5 46.31%
Over 3.5 31.4%
Under 3.5 68.6%

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 84.3%
Under 0.5 15.7%
Over 1.5 55.23%
Under 1.5 44.77%

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 62.28%
Under 0.5 37.72%
Over 1.5 25.5%
Under 1.5 74.49%

Score analysis

Ballymena United 57.93%
Draw 22.52%
Carrick Rangers 19.54%
Ballymena United
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 6.27%
3-1 @ 6.11%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-0 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 2.83%
4-2 @ 1.38%
5-0 @ 1.07%
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 57.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.69%
0-0 @ 5.92%
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 22.52%
Carrick Rangers
0-1 @ 5.77%
1-2 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 2.81%
1-3 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 19.54%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 24
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • David Cushley 40' goal
  • David Cushley 65' goal
  • Alex Gawne 73' yellowcard
  • Ewan Kelly 78' goal
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 14
Nov 20, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ross Redman 36' yellowcard
  • Ross Redman 62' redcard
  • 71' yellowcard
  • 80' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Gibson 70'
  • yellowcard Jordan Gibson 83'
  • yellowcard Alex Gawne 85'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Stewart Nixon 33' redcard
  • Alex Gawne 55' goal
  • Jordan Gibson 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Caolan Loughran 25'
  • goal Jonte Smith 32'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 2
May 4, 2021 7.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Steven Gordon 63' redcard
  • goal Trai Hume 45'
  • goal Shay McCartan 64'
  • goal Shay McCartan 89'
  • goal Joe McCready 90'+4'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Steven Gordon 36' goal
  • Shay McCartan 81' goal
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 18
Jan 30, 2021 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Paul McElroy 21'
  • goal Jude Winchester 82'