NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 1
Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
3 - 1
Ballymena

Birney (44'), Campbell (73', 75')
Snoddy (24'), Birney (28'), Clarke (88'), Garrett (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nelson (25')
Kelly (40'), Millar (43'), Redman (65'), Nelson (70')
Millar (90+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

Last Six:
Last Game: Glentoran 2-0 Glenavon
Tuesday, May 10 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Ballymena United

Last Six:
Last Game: Dungannon 1-2 Ballymena
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawBallymena United
44.52%25.39%30.09%
Both teams to score 54.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.9%49.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83%71.17%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.97%22.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.65%55.35%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.82%30.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.66%66.34%
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 44.51%
    Ballymena United 30.09%
    Draw 25.38%
GlenavonDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.11%
2-0 @ 7.61%
3-1 @ 4.6%
3-0 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.51%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.65%
2-2 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.96%
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 4.77%
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 30.09%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
3-3
Glenavon
Place (12'), Keeley (45+1'), McElroy (80')
Strain (45'), Keeley (56'), Redman (57'), Millar (70'), Place (90+2')
Keeley (56')
Fitzpatrick (7'), Campbell (46'), McCloskey (69')
Birney (40'), Wallace (45'), Fitzpatrick (56')
Wallace (56'), Garrett (72')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Glenavon
0-1
Ballymena

Stafford (46'), O'Connor (69'), Singleton (80')
Kane (34')
Strain (56')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Ballymena
1-1
Glenavon
Strain (90+2')
Rodgers (86')
Fitzpatrick (51')
Ward (31'), Wallace (50'), O'Connor (69')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Ballymena
3-1
Glenavon
McElroy (60'), McCartan (70' pen.), Balmer (81')
Balmer (51'), Kelly (64')
Douglas (88')
Moorhouse (22'), Purkis (33'), Singleton (64'), Byrne (71')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Glenavon
3-2
Ballymena
Singleton (34'), G (39'), Purkis (78' pen.)
Campbell (37'), Moorhouse (45+1'), Snoddy (79')
Addis (58'), Hyland (66' og.)
S (62')