NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 32
Mar 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Taylors Avenue
Larne

Carrick
1 - 1
Larne

Carson (14')
Cherry (39'), Ervin (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lynch (38')
(33'), Hughes (62'), (84'), (88')
Bolger (9'), Scott (85')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

Last Six:
Last Game: Portadown 0-5 Carrick
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Larne

Last Six:
Last Game: Glentoran 2-4 Larne
Friday, May 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
20.68%22.58%56.75%
Both teams to score 54.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98%45.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63%67.38%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.19%35.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.42%72.59%
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35%15.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.33%44.68%
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 20.68%
    Larne 56.74%
    Draw 22.57%
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 5.76%
2-1 @ 5.48%
2-0 @ 2.96%
3-1 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.74%
3-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 20.68%
1-1 @ 10.67%
0-0 @ 5.6%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.57%
0-1 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-2 @ 9.64%
1-3 @ 6.12%
0-3 @ 5.96%
2-3 @ 3.14%
1-4 @ 2.84%
0-4 @ 2.76%
2-4 @ 1.46%
1-5 @ 1.05%
0-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 56.74%

Head to Head
Dec 27, 2021 3pm
Carrick
1-3
Larne
Cushley (32' pen.)
Ervin (50')
Cosgrove (38'), Hale (45+2'), McDaid (85')
(45'), (48'), (74')
Sep 25, 2021 5.30pm
Larne
0-0
Carrick

Oluwya (38'), Mitchell (65')

Surgenor (65')
Apr 3, 2021 3pm
Larne
3-0
Carrick
Lynch (14', 37'), Mitchell (35' pen.)
Mar 16, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
1-3
Larne
Loughran (18' pen.)
Loughran (50'), Chapman (65')
Mitchell (11' pen.), Herron (34'), McKendry (90+2')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Carrick
1-2
Larne
Loughran (84' pen.)
Smith (43'), Kelly (70'), Loughran (74'), Ferrin (81')
Mitchell (42' pen.), Randall (82')
Hale (52'), Scott (78'), Hughes (80'), Randall (90+4')