NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 2
Oct 24, 2020 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Larne

Carrick
1 - 2
Larne

Loughran (84' pen.)
Smith (43'), Kelly (70'), Loughran (74'), Ferrin (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mitchell (42' pen.), Randall (82')
Hale (52'), Scott (78'), Hughes (80'), Randall (90+4')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
21.56%23.42%55.01%
Both teams to score 52.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.45%47.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24%69.76%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.63%36.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.84%73.15%
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.85%17.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.61%47.39%
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 21.56%
    Larne 55.01%
    Draw 23.42%
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 6.31%
2-1 @ 5.63%
2-0 @ 3.19%
3-1 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.67%
3-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 21.56%
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.42%
0-1 @ 10.99%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-2 @ 9.7%
1-3 @ 5.76%
0-3 @ 5.7%
2-3 @ 2.92%
1-4 @ 2.54%
0-4 @ 2.51%
2-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 55.01%