Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Larne.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Larne
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Glentoran | 38 | 24 | 71 |
| 4 | Crusaders | 38 | 24 | 68 |
| 5 | Larne | 38 | 22 | 62 |
Last Game: Glentoran 2-4 Larne
Friday, May 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Friday, May 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Crusaders | 38 | 24 | 68 |
| 5 | Larne | 38 | 22 | 62 |
| 6 | Glenavon | 38 | 4 | 54 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Larne had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Larne |
| 38.07% | 26.71% | 35.22% |
| Both teams to score 51.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.78% | 53.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.21% | 74.78% |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% | 27.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.42% | 62.58% |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% | 28.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.27% | 64.73% |
| Score Analysis |
Crusaders 38.06%
Larne 35.22%
Draw 26.7%
| Crusaders | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 6.66% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.06% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 7.84% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 7.89% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.22% |
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Nov 5, 2021 7.45pm
Larne
1-0
Crusaders
Lynch (77')
Herron (22'), Sule (24'), Hale (90+4')
Herron (22'), Sule (24'), Hale (90+4')
May 1, 2021 5.30pm
Crusaders
1-3
Larne
McMurray (62'), Hale (68'), Mottley-Henry (77')
Cosgrove (19'), Jarvis (45')
Cosgrove (19'), Jarvis (45')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Form Guide


