NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
May 1, 2021 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ross Clarke 45' goal
  • Paul Heatley 55' yellowcard
  • Declan Caddell 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Cosgrove 19'
  • yellowcard Dean Jarvis 45'
  • goal Jonathan McMurray 62'
  • goal Ronan Hale 68'
  • goal Dylan Mottley-Henry 77'

Crusaders vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 24, 2021 3.00pm
Dungannon 0 - 2 Crusaders
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Paul Heatley

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 23, 2021 7.30pm
Glentoran 3 - 2 Larne
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
David McDaid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Larne had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result

Crusaders 41.43%
Draw 25.57%
Larne 32.99%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.07%

Goals

Over 2.5 51.17%
Under 2.5 48.82%
Over 3.5 29.07%
Under 3.5 70.92%

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 76.61%
Under 0.5 23.38%
Over 1.5 42.63%
Under 1.5 57.36%

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 71.88%
Under 0.5 28.11%
Over 1.5 36.21%
Under 1.5 63.78%

Score analysis

Crusaders 41.43%
Draw 25.57%
Larne 32.99%
Crusaders
1-0 @ 9.55%
2-1 @ 8.81%
2-0 @ 6.94%
3-1 @ 4.27%
3-0 @ 3.36%
3-2 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 41.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.57%
Larne
0-1 @ 8.34%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.99%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 23
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fuad Sule 30' redcard
  • goal Adam Lecky 54'
  • goal Adam Lecky 69'
  • goal Adam Lecky 77'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 16
Jan 23, 2021 12.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Declan Caddell 12' yellowcard
  • Jamie McGonigle 39' goal
  • Chris Hegarty 73' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 89' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Randall 12'
  • goal Ronan Hale 19'
  • goal Ronan Hale 33'
  • yellowcard Martin Donnelly 63'
  • goal Jonathan McMurray 79'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 6
Nov 14, 2020 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park
  • David McDaid 69' goal
  • Tomas Cosgrove 73' goal
  • Mark Randall 82' yellowcard
  • Tomas Cosgrove 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Hegarty 22'
  • yellowcard Adam Lecky 40'
  • yellowcard Jamie McGonigle 53'
  • yellowcard Ross Clarke 77'
  • goal Declan Caddell 81'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 26
Jan 18, 2020 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Seaview (Belfast)
  • Jamie McGonigle 3' goal
  • Jordan Owens 22' goal
  • Jamie McGonigle 30' goal
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2019 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park (Larne)
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2019 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Seaview (Belfast)
  • Philip Lowry 15' goal
  • David Cushley 78' goal
  • goal Jonathan McMurray 45'
  • goal Sean Graham 46'