NIFL Premiership Gameweek 32
Apr 16, 2021 7.45pm
6
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Philip Lowry 18' goal
  • Paul Heatley 25' goal
  • Ross Clarke 47' goal
  • Paul Heatley 68' goal
  • Jamie McGonigle 75' goal
  • Jamie McGonigle 79' goal
  • goal Matt Fitzpatrick 8'
  • yellowcard Andrew Doyle 59'

Crusaders vs Glenavon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 10, 2021 3.00pm
Crusaders 2 - 2 Cliftonville
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Paul Heatley

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 10, 2021 3.00pm
Glenavon 3 - 2 Ballymena
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Matt Fitzpatrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result

Crusaders 46.67%
Draw 23.67%
Glenavon 29.65%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.01%

Goals

Over 2.5 58.33%
Under 2.5 41.67%
Over 3.5 35.93%
Under 3.5 64.07%

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 81.91%
Under 0.5 18.08%
Over 1.5 50.99%
Under 1.5 49.01%

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5 73.26%
Under 0.5 26.74%
Over 1.5 37.99%
Under 1.5 62%

Score analysis

Crusaders 46.67%
Draw 23.67%
Glenavon 29.65%
Crusaders
2-1 @ 9.33%
1-0 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 7.07%
3-1 @ 5.32%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 46.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.9%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.67%
Glenavon
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-1 @ 6.38%
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 29.65%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 22
Feb 27, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aidan Wilson 46' redcard
  • goal Conor McCloskey 90'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 8
Nov 28, 2020 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jack O'Mahony 50' goal
  • James Singleton 68' yellowcard
  • Peter Campbell 74' goal
  • Peter Campbell 78' yellowcard
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 80' goal
  • goal Philip Lowry 3'
  • yellowcard Michael Ruddy 16'
  • yellowcard Jordan Forsythe 83'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 8, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mourneview Park
  • Joshua Daniels 67' goal
  • Conor McCloskey 86' goal
  • goal Paul Heatley 42'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 13
Oct 26, 2019 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Mourneview Park (Lurgan)
  • Jordan Jenkins 61' goal
  • Stephen Murray 85' goal
  • goal Jamie McGonigle 43'
  • goal Paul McElroy 91'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 7
Sep 14, 2019 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Seaview (Belfast)
  • Paul Heatley 13' goal
  • Philip Lowry 54' goal
  • David Cushley 79' goal
  • goal Rhys Marshall 1'
  • goal Andrew Mitchell 69'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Apr 6, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Stephen Murray 90' goal
  • Sammy Clingan 94' goal
  • goal Jordon Owens 47'