NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 32
Apr 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 

Crusaders
6 - 1
Glenavon

Lowry (18'), Heatley (25', 68'), Clarke (47'), McGonigle (75', 79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fitzpatrick (8')
Doyle (59')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Glenavon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawGlenavon
46.67%23.67%29.65%
Both teams to score 60.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.33%41.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.93%64.07%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.91%18.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.99%49.01%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.26%26.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.99%62%
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 46.67%
    Glenavon 29.65%
    Draw 23.67%
CrusadersDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 9.33%
1-0 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 7.07%
3-1 @ 5.32%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 46.67%
1-1 @ 10.9%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-1 @ 6.38%
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 29.65%