Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 67.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 13.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
