Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Crusaders.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 67.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 13.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Crusaders |
| 13.95% | 18.87% | 67.18% |
| Both teams to score 52.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.91% | 40.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.54% | 62.45% |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.15% | 40.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.58% | 77.41% |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.98% | 11.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.69% | 35.31% |
| Score Analysis |
Carrick Rangers 13.95%
Crusaders 67.17%
Draw 18.87%
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 4.03% 2-1 @ 3.98% 2-0 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.31% 3-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.65% Total : 13.95% | 1-1 @ 8.89% 0-0 @ 4.5% 2-2 @ 4.39% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.87% | 0-2 @ 10.94% 0-1 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-3 @ 8.05% 1-3 @ 7.21% 0-4 @ 4.44% 1-4 @ 3.98% 2-3 @ 3.23% 0-5 @ 1.96% 2-4 @ 1.78% 1-5 @ 1.75% Other @ 4.11% Total : 67.17% |


