NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 30
Apr 10, 2021 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park
Glenavon3 - 2Ballymena
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Ballymena United.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 36.43% | 24.33% | 39.25% |
| Both teams to score 60.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.48% | 42.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.08% | 64.92% |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% | 23.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.99% | 57.01% |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% | 21.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.14% | 54.87% |
| Score Analysis |
Glenavon 36.43%
Ballymena United 39.25%
Draw 24.33%
| Glenavon | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% 1-0 @ 7.35% 2-0 @ 5.38% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.43% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-1 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 4.37% 2-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 1.67% 2-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.56% Total : 39.25% |


