NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2021 at 3pm UK
 
Larne

Crusaders
1 - 0
Larne

Lecky (16')
McMurray (13'), Joe Burns (13'), Robinson (61'), Lecky (72'), Larmour (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mitchell (13'), Bolger (61'), Randall (66'), McDaid (73'), Cosgrove (88'), Hughes (89')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Larne.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 52%. A win for Larne had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crusaders in this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawLarne
52%23.97%24.02%
Both teams to score 54.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.69%47.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.47%69.53%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.82%18.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.83%49.17%
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.03%33.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.36%70.64%
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 52%
    Larne 24.02%
    Draw 23.97%
CrusadersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 9.69%
2-0 @ 8.97%
3-1 @ 5.51%
3-0 @ 5.1%
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-0 @ 2.17%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 52%
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 6.17%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.67%
1-2 @ 6.14%
0-2 @ 3.6%
1-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 24.02%