Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
1 - 0
Crusaders

Lynch (77')
Herron (22'), Sule (24'), Hale (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wilson (12'), Joe Burns (28'), Heatley (52')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Crusaders.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Larne in this match.

Result
LarneDrawCrusaders
46.59%26.42%27%
Both teams to score 49.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.15%54.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.85%76.15%
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.48%23.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.43%57.57%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.46%35.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69%72.31%
Score Analysis
    Larne 46.58%
    Crusaders 27%
    Draw 26.41%
LarneDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 12.09%
2-1 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 8.76%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 46.58%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 8.36%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 8.65%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-2 @ 4.47%
1-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 27%