NIFL Premiership Gameweek 23
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fuad Sule 30' redcard
  • goal Adam Lecky 54'
  • goal Adam Lecky 69'
  • goal Adam Lecky 77'

Larne vs Crusaders - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 26, 2021 7.45pm
Linfield 2 - 1 Larne
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
David McDaid

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 27, 2021 3.00pm
Crusaders 0 - 1 Glenavon
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Paul Heatley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result

Larne 46.11%
Draw 26.26%
Crusaders 27.62%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.19%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.09%
Under 2.5 53.9%
Over 3.5 24.64%
Under 3.5 75.36%

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 76.66%
Under 0.5 23.33%
Over 1.5 42.71%
Under 1.5 57.29%

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 65.47%
Under 0.5 34.52%
Over 1.5 28.75%
Under 1.5 71.24%

Score analysis

Larne 46.11%
Draw 26.26%
Crusaders 27.62%
Larne
1-0 @ 11.72%
2-1 @ 9.07%
2-0 @ 8.53%
3-1 @ 4.4%
3-0 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 46.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 8.06%
2-2 @ 4.82%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.26%
Crusaders
0-1 @ 8.57%
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 4.56%
1-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 27.62%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 16
Jan 23, 2021 12.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Declan Caddell 12' yellowcard
  • Jamie McGonigle 39' goal
  • Chris Hegarty 73' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 89' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Randall 12'
  • goal Ronan Hale 19'
  • goal Ronan Hale 33'
  • yellowcard Martin Donnelly 63'
  • goal Jonathan McMurray 79'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 6
Nov 14, 2020 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park
  • David McDaid 69' goal
  • Tomas Cosgrove 73' goal
  • Mark Randall 82' yellowcard
  • Tomas Cosgrove 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Hegarty 22'
  • yellowcard Adam Lecky 40'
  • yellowcard Jamie McGonigle 53'
  • yellowcard Ross Clarke 77'
  • goal Declan Caddell 81'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 26
Jan 18, 2020 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Seaview (Belfast)
  • Jamie McGonigle 3' goal
  • Jordan Owens 22' goal
  • Jamie McGonigle 30' goal
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2019 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park (Larne)
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2019 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Seaview (Belfast)
  • Philip Lowry 15' goal
  • David Cushley 78' goal
  • goal Jonathan McMurray 45'
  • goal Sean Graham 46'