NIFL Premiership Gameweek 21
Feb 13, 2021 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Philip Lowry 78' goal
  • Jordan Forsythe 86' redcard
  • goal Jonathan Frazer 11'
  • goal Jonathan Frazer 50'
  • goal Caolan Loughran 87'

Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 6, 2021 5.30pm
Crusaders 1 - 2 Linfield
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Paul Heatley

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 9, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick 1 - 1 Linfield
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Caolan Loughran

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 70.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 11.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result

Crusaders 70.7%
Draw 17.65%
Carrick Rangers 11.65%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.88%

Goals

Over 2.5 59.85%
Under 2.5 40.14%
Over 3.5 37.48%
Under 3.5 62.52%

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 89.86%
Under 0.5 10.14%
Over 1.5 66.66%
Under 1.5 33.34%

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 55.51%
Under 0.5 44.49%
Over 1.5 19.48%
Under 1.5 80.52%

Score analysis

Crusaders 70.69%
Draw 17.65%
Carrick Rangers 11.65%
Crusaders
2-0 @ 11.81%
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 9.57%
3-0 @ 9.02%
3-1 @ 7.3%
4-0 @ 5.16%
4-1 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 2.96%
5-0 @ 2.36%
5-1 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.69%
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 70.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.36%
0-0 @ 4.51%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 17.65%
Carrick Rangers
0-1 @ 3.65%
1-2 @ 3.39%
0-2 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 11.65%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 33
Mar 21, 2020 3.00pm
Loughshore Hotel Arena
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 16
Nov 15, 2019 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena (Carrickfergus)
  • Guillaume Keke 14' goal
  • goal Ross Clarke 56'
  • goal Jordan Owens 93'
  • goal Jamie McGonigle 95'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2019 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Seaview (Belfast)
  • Jordan Owens 22' goal
  • Paul Heatley 43' goal
  • Ross Clarke 91' goal