NIFL Premiership Gameweek 18
Jan 30, 2021 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Paul McElroy 21'
  • goal Jude Winchester 82'

Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Glentoran 2 - 0 Carrick
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Caolan Loughran

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Jan 2, 2021 3.00pm
Larne 0 - 1 Ballymena
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Shay McCartan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result

Carrick Rangers 25.15%
Draw 24.31%
Ballymena United 50.54%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.14%

Goals

Over 2.5 52.27%
Under 2.5 47.73%
Over 3.5 30.08%
Under 3.5 69.93%

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 66.76%
Under 0.5 33.24%
Over 1.5 30.15%
Under 1.5 69.85%

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 81.09%
Under 0.5 18.91%
Over 1.5 49.6%
Under 1.5 50.4%

Score analysis

Carrick Rangers 25.15%
Draw 24.31%
Ballymena United 50.53%
Carrick Rangers
1-0 @ 6.92%
2-1 @ 6.35%
2-0 @ 3.81%
3-1 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 1.94%
3-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 25.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 6.28%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.31%
Ballymena United
0-1 @ 10.46%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-2 @ 8.72%
1-3 @ 5.33%
0-3 @ 4.84%
2-3 @ 2.94%
1-4 @ 2.22%
0-4 @ 2.02%
2-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 50.53%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 8
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Paul McElroy 20' goal
  • Shay McCartan 32' yellowcard
  • Cathair Friel 35' yellowcard
  • Kofi Balmer 64' goal
  • Jonathan Addis 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caolan Loughran 43'
  • yellowcard Daniel Kelly 67'
  • yellowcard Jordan Gibson 68'
  • yellowcard Liam McKenna 84'
  • yellowcard Kyle Cherry 88'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 8, 2020 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Ballymena Showgrounds
  • goal Kyle Cherry 38'
  • goal Daniel Kelly 56'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2019 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Showgrounds (Ballymena)
  • Andrew Burns 12' goal
  • goal Daniel Kelly 1'
  • goal Lee Chapman 23'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Aug 30, 2019 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena (Carrickfergus)
  • goal Jude Winchester 59'
  • redcard Jonathan Addis 63'