NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 10
Dec 12, 2020 at 3pm UK
Stangmore Park

Dungannon
1 - 5
Ballymena

Carvill (22' pen.)
Brennan (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Winchester (54'), Hume (56'), McElroy (60' pen.), McCartan (72', 85')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Ballymena United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Dungannon SwiftsDrawBallymena United
29.8%25.25%44.95%
Both teams to score 54.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36%48.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.25%70.75%
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85%30.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7%66.3%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36%21.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24%54.76%
Score Analysis
    Dungannon Swifts 29.8%
    Ballymena United 44.95%
    Draw 25.25%
Dungannon SwiftsDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 7.82%
2-1 @ 7.18%
2-0 @ 4.69%
3-1 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 2.2%
3-0 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 29.8%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.52%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 9.99%
1-2 @ 9.16%
0-2 @ 7.64%
1-3 @ 4.68%
0-3 @ 3.9%
2-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.79%
0-4 @ 1.49%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.95%

rhs 2.0


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