NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 8
Dec 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Ballymena Showgrounds

Ballymena
2 - 0
Carrick

McElroy (20' pen.), Balmer (64')
McCartan (32'), Friel (35'), Addis (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Loughran (43'), Kelly (67'), Gibson (68'), McKenna (84'), Cherry (88')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
46.37%23.13%30.5%
Both teams to score 62.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.41%38.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.11%60.89%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99%17.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86%47.14%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33%24.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81%59.19%
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 46.37%
    Carrick Rangers 30.5%
    Draw 23.13%
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 9.21%
1-0 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 5.44%
3-0 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.81%
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.69%
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 46.37%
1-1 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 6.45%
0-0 @ 4.2%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 7.28%
0-1 @ 5.87%
0-2 @ 4.11%
1-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 30.5%