NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Nov 7, 2020 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Paul McElroy 24' goal
  • Ryan Harpur 35' yellowcard
  • Ryan Strain 43' yellowcard
  • Trai Hume 65' yellowcard
  • Jude Winchester 77' yellowcard
  • Paul McElroy 84' yellowcard
  • goal Ross Clarke 48'
  • goal Jordan Owens 53'
  • yellowcard Philip Lowry 69'
  • yellowcard Gary Thompson 72'
  • goal Jordan Owens 78'
  • goal Declan Caddell 83'

Ballymena United vs Crusaders - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Oct 31, 2020 3.00pm
Larne 2 - 0 Ballymena
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Shay McCartan

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Oct 30, 2020 7.45pm
Linfield 2 - 1 Crusaders
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Paul Heatley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result

Ballymena United 19.7%
Draw 23.4%
Crusaders 56.89%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.02%

Goals

Over 2.5 50.24%
Under 2.5 49.75%
Over 3.5 28.23%
Under 3.5 71.76%

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 60.46%
Under 0.5 39.53%
Over 1.5 23.77%
Under 1.5 76.22%

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 82.72%
Under 0.5 17.27%
Over 1.5 52.39%
Under 1.5 47.61%

Score analysis

Ballymena United 19.7%
Draw 23.39%
Crusaders 56.88%
Ballymena United
1-0 @ 6.34%
2-1 @ 5.16%
2-0 @ 2.94%
3-1 @ 1.6%
3-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 19.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 6.83%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 23.39%
Crusaders
0-1 @ 11.99%
0-2 @ 10.52%
1-2 @ 9.77%
0-3 @ 6.16%
1-3 @ 5.72%
0-4 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 2.51%
2-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 56.88%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 27
Jan 25, 2020 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • Billy Joe Burns 44' yellowcard
  • Declan Caddell 71' goal
  • Ross Clarke 85' goal
  • yellowcard Jonathan Addis 87'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview (Belfast)
  • goal Joshua Kelly 88'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds (Ballymena)
  • Ryan Harpur 67' goal
  • goal Jamie McGonigle 48'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Apr 27, 2019 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Rory Patterson 11'
  • goal Ross Clarke 42'
  • goal Matthew Snoddy 56'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2019 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Seaview (Belfast)
  • Paul Heatley 6' goal
  • Kyle Owens 29' goal
  • Paul Heatley 86' goal
  • goal Jude Winchester 25'
  • goal Steven McCullough 64'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 13
Oct 27, 2018 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Seaview (Belfast)
  • Adam Lecky 11' goal
  • William Faulkner 76' goal
  • Andy McGrory 78' goal