Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
