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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Nov 10, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Ballymena Showgrounds

Ballymena
0 - 2
Glenavon


Harpur (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fitzpatrick (13'), Moorhouse (90+3')
Larmour (58'), Garrett (80')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Glenavon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
30.73%23.67%45.59%
Both teams to score 60.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.95%41.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.55%63.43%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26%25.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.33%60.65%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72%18.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66%49.33%
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 30.73%
    Glenavon 45.59%
    Draw 23.66%
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 7.36%
1-0 @ 6.38%
2-0 @ 4.33%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.73%
1-1 @ 10.84%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 4.7%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 9.22%
0-1 @ 7.99%
0-2 @ 6.79%
1-3 @ 5.23%
0-3 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 3.55%
1-4 @ 2.22%
0-4 @ 1.64%
2-4 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 45.59%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 26
Ballymena
0-3
Glenavon

Owens (34'), Friel (67'), Burns (90'), Carville (90')
Byrne (10'), Purkis (65'), Moorhouse (90')
Birney (83'), Garrett (85'), Doyle (90'), Singleton (90')
Dec 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Ballymena
2-1
Glenavon
Friel (48', 93')
Jenkins (50')
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Glenavon
3-1
Ballymena
Marshall (28'), McCullough (57' og.), Jenkins (90')
Friel (11')
Apr 23, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Ballymena
4-3
Glenavon
McGrory (9'), McMurray (22'), Lecky (56'), McGinty (87')
Sharkey (19'), Singleton (58'), Mitchell (86')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Glenavon
0-2
Ballymena
Lecky (13'), Winchester (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LarneLarne32238167175077
2LinfieldLinfield32243573334075
3CliftonvilleCliftonville32224673284570
4GlentoranGlentoran33168968373156
5CrusadersCrusaders331671055361955
6ColeraineColeraine33118144157-1641
7Loughgall33116165059-939
8Carrick RangersCarrick32115164162-2138
9GlenavonGlenavon33104194060-2034
10Dungannon SwiftsDungannon3388175267-1532
11Ballymena UnitedBallymena3354242063-4319
12Newry City AFC3345242283-6117


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