Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.