Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 53.11%. A win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Warrenpoint Town win was 0-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
