NIFL Premiership Gameweek 16
Jan 23, 2021 12.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Declan Caddell 12' yellowcard
  • Jamie McGonigle 39' goal
  • Chris Hegarty 73' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 89' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Randall 12'
  • goal Ronan Hale 19'
  • goal Ronan Hale 33'
  • yellowcard Martin Donnelly 63'
  • goal Jonathan McMurray 79'

Crusaders vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Jan 9, 2021 3.00pm
Cliftonville 2 - 2 Crusaders
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Paul Heatley

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Jan 2, 2021 3.00pm
Larne 0 - 1 Ballymena
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
David McDaid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Larne had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result

Crusaders 51.88%
Draw 25.53%
Larne 22.59%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.72%

Goals

Over 2.5 45.17%
Under 2.5 54.83%
Over 3.5 23.87%
Under 3.5 76.13%

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 78.84%
Under 0.5 21.16%
Over 1.5 45.97%
Under 1.5 54.03%

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 60.53%
Under 0.5 39.47%
Over 1.5 23.84%
Under 1.5 76.16%

Score analysis

Crusaders 51.88%
Draw 25.52%
Larne 22.59%
Crusaders
1-0 @ 12.97%
2-0 @ 10.07%
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 51.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.52%
Larne
0-1 @ 7.77%
1-2 @ 5.61%
0-2 @ 3.61%
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 22.59%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 6
Nov 14, 2020 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park
  • David McDaid 69' goal
  • Tomas Cosgrove 73' goal
  • Mark Randall 82' yellowcard
  • Tomas Cosgrove 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Hegarty 22'
  • yellowcard Adam Lecky 40'
  • yellowcard Jamie McGonigle 53'
  • yellowcard Ross Clarke 77'
  • goal Declan Caddell 81'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 26
Jan 18, 2020 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Seaview (Belfast)
  • Jamie McGonigle 3' goal
  • Jordan Owens 22' goal
  • Jamie McGonigle 30' goal
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2019 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park (Larne)
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2019 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Seaview (Belfast)
  • Philip Lowry 15' goal
  • David Cushley 78' goal
  • goal Jonathan McMurray 45'
  • goal Sean Graham 46'