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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 16
Jan 23, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
 
Larne

Crusaders
3 - 3
Larne

McGonigle (39'), Hegarty (73'), Kennedy (89' pen.)
Caddell (12')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hale (19', 33'), McMurray (79')
Randall (12'), Donnelly (63')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Larne.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Larne had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
CrusadersDrawLarne
51.88%25.53%22.59%
Both teams to score 47.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.17%54.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.87%76.13%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84%21.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97%54.03%
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.53%39.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.84%76.16%
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 51.88%
    Larne 22.59%
    Draw 25.52%
CrusadersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 12.97%
2-0 @ 10.07%
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 51.88%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 7.77%
1-2 @ 5.61%
0-2 @ 3.61%
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 22.59%

Head to Head
Nov 14, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Larne
2-1
Crusaders
McDaid (69'), Cosgrove (73')
Randall (82'), Cosgrove (89')
Caddell (81')
Hegarty (22'), Lecky (40'), McGonigle (53'), Clarke (77')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 26
Crusaders
3-0
Larne
McGonigle (3' pen., 30'), Owens (22')
Nov 11, 2019 7.45pm
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 4
Crusaders
2-2
Larne
Lowry (15'), Cushley (78')
McMurray (45'), Graham (46')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield19132438162241
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2010372723433
3CliftonvilleCliftonville199462719831
4PortadownPortadown199462719831
5GlentoranGlentoran209472419531
6CrusadersCrusaders188372323027
7Ballymena UnitedBallymena1990102223-127
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon193791428-1416
12Loughgall2034132048-2813


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