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Champions League
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
2 - 0
New Saints

Mulgrew (90+4'), Devine (95')
Fallon (48'), Cooper (55'), Roscoe (72'), Stewart (84'), Clarke (98'), Shields (118')
FT
(aet)

Roberts (33'), Davies (82'), Smith (103')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Linfield and The New Saints, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

Last Six:
    Last Game: New Saints 1-0 Linfield
    Tuesday, July 5 at 7pm in Champions League

    The New Saints

    Last Six:
      Last Game: New Saints 1-0 Linfield
      Tuesday, July 5 at 7pm in Champions League

      We say: Linfield 2-1 The New Saints (2-2 on aggregate; Linfield win after extra time and penalties)

       The first leg result leaves this tie perfectly balanced, and there is every chance the game will go to extra time - particularly without the defunct away goals rule. Linfield were denied by some sharp goalkeeping last Tuesday, but the support of the Windsor Park faithful can spur them on to score more than once. It may ultimately take spot-kicks to decide which side progresses, though. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

      The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Linfield win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%).

      Result
      LinfieldDrawThe New Saints
      33.63% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 24.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 41.63% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
      Both teams to score 58.11% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      55.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)44.97% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      32.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)67.33% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
      Linfield Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      74.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.86% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      39.17% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)60.83% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
      The New Saints Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      78.37% (0.019999999999996 0.02)21.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      45.26% (0.032000000000004 0.03)54.74% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
      Score Analysis
          Linfield 33.63%
          The New Saints 41.63%
          Draw 24.74%
      LinfieldDrawThe New Saints
      2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
      1-0 @ 7.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
      2-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
      3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
      3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
      3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.004 -0)
      4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
      4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
      Other @ 2.47%
      Total : 33.63%
      		1-1 @ 11.58%
      2-2 @ 6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
      0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      3-3 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
      Other @ 0.2%
      Total : 24.74%
      		1-2 @ 8.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
      0-1 @ 8.56%
      0-2 @ 6.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
      1-3 @ 4.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
      0-3 @ 3.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
      2-3 @ 3.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
      1-4 @ 1.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
      0-4 @ 1.28% (0.0029999999999999 0)
      2-4 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
      Other @ 2.52%
      Total : 41.63%

      How you voted: Linfield vs New Saints

      Linfield
      55.2%
      Draw
      32.8%
      The New Saints
      12.1%
      58
      Head to Head
      Jul 5, 2022 7pm
      New Saints
      1-0
      Linfield
      Brobbel (57')
      Marriott (25'), Williams (69')

      Finlayson (32'), Clarke (53'), Shields (90+2')
      rhs 2.0
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