Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 61.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 13.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.07%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.67%), while for a Rigas Futbola Skola win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.