| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Monza | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Empoli | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Lecce | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Roma | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 41.63% ( | 24.1% ( | 34.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.21% ( | 41.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.81% ( | 64.19% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.73% ( | 20.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.38% ( | 52.62% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( | 23.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.77% ( | 58.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 2-0 @ 6.19% ( 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 4-0 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 41.63% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 3-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 2-3 @ 3% ( 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 2-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.27% |