Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 78.66%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 7.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.