| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 78.66%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 7.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Empoli |
| 78.66% | 13.41% | 7.93% |
| Both teams to score 50.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.83% | 31.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.4% | 52.6% |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.71% | 6.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.32% | 23.68% |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.31% | 45.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.52% | 81.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Empoli |
| 2-0 @ 10.99% 3-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 8.62% 3-1 @ 7.95% 1-0 @ 7.95% 4-0 @ 7.02% 4-1 @ 5.5% 5-0 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 3.11% 5-1 @ 3.04% 4-2 @ 2.15% 6-0 @ 1.79% 6-1 @ 1.4% 5-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.91% Total : 78.65% | 1-1 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 3.37% 0-0 @ 2.87% Other @ 0.93% Total : 13.41% | 1-2 @ 2.44% 0-1 @ 2.25% Other @ 3.24% Total : 7.93% |