Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.