Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Mar 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
1 - 0
Empoli

Kalulu (19')
Tonali (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AC Milan	38	38	86
2	Inter Milan	38	52	84
3	Napoli	38	43	79

Empoli

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Bologna	38	-11	46
14	Empoli	38	-20	41
15	Sampdoria	38	-17	36

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.95%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Empoli
66.57%	19.47%	13.95%

Both teams to score 50.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.1%

42.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.7%

65.29%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.01%

11.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.59%

37.41%

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.38%

42.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.03%

78.96%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 66.56%

Empoli 13.95%

Draw 19.47%

AC Milan	Draw	Empoli
2-0 @ 11.49% 1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 8.13% 3-1 @ 6.93% 4-0 @ 4.31% 4-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.96% 5-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.47% Total : 66.56%	1-1 @ 9.24% 0-0 @ 5.11% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.94% Total : 19.47%	0-1 @ 4.36% 1-2 @ 3.94% 0-2 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.19% 1-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.49% Total : 13.95%