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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
San Siro
Empoli logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Empoli

Kalulu (19')
Tonali (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Empoli

Only 18th-placed Venezia have conceded more shots on target than Empoli's total of 162 in Serie A this season, so an opportunity surely presents itself for Milan to stretch their lead in the standings. The hosts' scoring rate may have dipped in recent weeks, but Leao and Giroud have been in impressive form, with 'King Zlatan' also bringing his charismatic presence to bear on the bench. Therefore, Empoli's winless run will roll on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.95%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawEmpoli
66.57%19.47%13.95%
Both teams to score 50.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1%42.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7%65.29%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.01%11.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.59%37.41%
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.38%42.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.03%78.96%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 66.56%
    Empoli 13.95%
    Draw 19.47%
AC MilanDrawEmpoli
2-0 @ 11.49%
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 8.13%
3-1 @ 6.93%
4-0 @ 4.31%
4-1 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 2.96%
5-0 @ 1.83%
4-2 @ 1.57%
5-1 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 66.56%
1-1 @ 9.24%
0-0 @ 5.11%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 19.47%
0-1 @ 4.36%
1-2 @ 3.94%
0-2 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.19%
1-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.95%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Empoli

AC Milan
90.8%
Draw
7.1%
Empoli
2.0%
98
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Empoli
2-4
AC Milan
Bajrami (18'), Pinamonti (84' pen.)
Romagnoli (62')
Kessie (12', 42'), Florenzi (63'), Hernandez (69')
Tonali (39'), Bennacer (80')
Feb 22, 2019 7.30pm
Sep 27, 2018 8pm
Empoli
1-1
AC Milan
Caputo (71' pen.)
Maietta (53'), Capezzi (55')
Capezzi (10' og.)
Calabria (45'), Laxalt (83')
Apr 23, 2017 2pm
AC Milan
1-2
Empoli
Lapadula (72')
Sosa (21'), De Sciglio (48')
Mchedlidze (40'), Baba Thiam (67')
Baba Thiam (56'), Tello (82'), El Kaddouri (89'), Bellusci (90')
Nov 26, 2016 7.45pm
Empoli
1-4
AC Milan
Saponara (17')
Krunic (37'), Bellusci (89')
Lapadula (15', 78'), Suso (61'), Costa (64' og.)
Romagnoli (4'), Kucka (31'), Bonaventura (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan32265177176083
2AC Milan32216563372669
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna321611545252059
5Roma31167856352155
6Lazio33164134235752
7Atalanta BCAtalanta311561057362151
8Napoli321310950401049
9Torino32111293129245
10Fiorentina31128114336744
11Monza321110113441-743
12Genoa33912123540-539
13CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
14Lecce32711142748-2132
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona32610163044-1428
16Udinese31416113047-1728
17Empoli3277182548-2328
18FrosinoneFrosinone3269174063-2327
19SassuoloSassuolo3268183962-2326
20Salernitana3229212668-4215


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