Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Empoli |
66.57% | 19.47% | 13.95% |
Both teams to score 50.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.1% | 42.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.7% | 65.29% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.01% | 11.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.59% | 37.41% |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.38% | 42.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.03% | 78.96% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Empoli |
2-0 @ 11.49% 1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 8.13% 3-1 @ 6.93% 4-0 @ 4.31% 4-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.96% 5-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.47% Total : 66.56% | 1-1 @ 9.24% 0-0 @ 5.11% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.94% Total : 19.47% | 0-1 @ 4.36% 1-2 @ 3.94% 0-2 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.19% 1-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.49% Total : 13.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 17 | 60 | 83 |
2 | AC Milan | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 59 |
5 | Roma | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
6 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 51 |
8 | Napoli | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 49 |
9 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 45 |
10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 44 |
11 | Monza | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
14 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 28 |
16 | Udinese | 31 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 28 |
17 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 27 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 68 | -42 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |