Serie A Gameweek 37
AC Milan
May 15, 2022 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Atalanta
  • Olivier Giroud 44' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 56' goal
  • Franck Kessie 67' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 75' goal
  • Ismael Bennacer 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Teun Koopmeiners 53'
  • yellowcard Ruslan Malinovskyi 87'

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
May 8, 2022 7.45pm
Hellas Verona 1 - 3 AC Milan
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
May 8, 2022 11.30am
Spezia 1 - 3 Atalanta
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Mario Pasalic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

AC Milan 46.74% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 25.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Atalanta BC 27.52% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.7% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 51.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 26.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 73.66% ▲ (+0.02)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 77.8% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 22.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 44.39% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 55.6% ▲ (+0.07)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 66.45% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 33.55% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 29.81% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 70.19% ▼ (-0.06)

Score analysis

AC Milan 46.73%
Draw 25.74%
Atalanta BC 27.52%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 11.2% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 46.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 25.74%
Atalanta BC
0-1 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 27.52%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 7
Atalanta
Oct 3, 2021 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
AC Milan
  • Marten de Roon 40' yellowcard
  • Duvan Zapata 86' goal
  • Mario Pasalic 90'+4' goal
  • goal Davide Calabria 1'
  • yellowcard Brahim Diaz 42'
  • goal Sandro Tonali 43'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 52'
  • goal Rafael Leao 78'
  • yellowcard Junior Messias 85'
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 88'
  • yellowcard Stefano Pioli 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 38
Atalanta
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
AC Milan
  • Remo Freuler 47' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 69' yellowcard
  • Rafael Toloi 86' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 90'+1' redcard
  • goal Franck Kessie 43'
  • yellowcard Mario Mandzukic 82'
  • yellowcard Rade Krunic 90'+1'
  • goal Franck Kessie 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 19
AC Milan
Jan 23, 2021 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Atalanta
  • Theo Hernandez 38' yellowcard
  • Franck Kessie 51' yellowcard
  • goal Cristian Romero 26'
  • goal Josip Ilicic 53'
  • goal Duvan Zapata 77'
  • yellowcard Robin Gosens 84'
Serie A Gameweek 36
AC Milan
Jul 24, 2020 8.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 14' goal
  • Lucas Biglia 25' yellowcard
  • goal Duvan Zapata 34'
  • yellowcard Rafael Toloi 38'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Atalanta
Dec 22, 2019 11.30am
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT
AC Milan
  • Papu 10' goal
  • Timothy Castagne 46' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 56' yellowcard
  • Mario Pasalic 61' goal
  • Josip Ilicic 63' goal
  • Josip Ilicic 72' goal
  • Luis Muriel 84' goal
  • yellowcard Mateo Musacchio 37'
  • yellowcard Suso 44'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 71'
  • yellowcard Franck Kessie 77'
Serie A Gameweek 24
Atalanta
Feb 16, 2019 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia (Bergamo)
AC Milan
  • Marten de Roon 18' yellowcard
  • Remo Freuler 33' goal
  • yellowcard Suso 27'
  • goal Krzysztof Piatek 45'
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 55'
  • goal Krzysztof Piatek 61'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Rodriguez 89'

Form Data

Hellas Verona 1 - 3 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 0 Fiorentina
Lazio 1 - 2 AC Milan
Inter Milan 3 - 0 AC Milan
AC Milan 2 - 0 Genoa
Torino 0 - 0 AC Milan
Spezia 1 - 3 Atalanta
Atalanta 1 - 1 Salernitana
Atalanta 4 - 4 Torino
Venezia 1 - 3 Atalanta
Atalanta 1 - 2 Hellas Verona
Atalanta 0 - 2 RB Leipzig