Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 15, 2022 at 5pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
2 - 0
Atalanta

Leao (56'), Hernandez (75')
Giroud (44'), Kessie (67'), Bennacer (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Koopmeiners (53'), Malinovskyi (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AC Milan	38	38	86
2	Inter Milan	38	52	84
3	Napoli	38	43	79

Atalanta BC

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62
8	Atalanta BC	38	17	59
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Atalanta BC
46.74% ( -0.09)	25.74% ( 0.02)	27.52% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 51.7% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.09% (

-0.01)

51.91% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.34% (

-0.01)

73.66% (

0.01)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.8% (

-0.04)

22.19% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.39% (

-0.06)

55.6% (

0.07)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.45% (

0.05)

33.55% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.81% (

0.06)

70.19% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 46.73%

Atalanta BC 27.52%

Draw 25.74%

AC Milan	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 46.73%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.52%