Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
We said: AC Milan 1-0 Atalanta BC
Though it ultimately finished 3-2 to Milan in October's reverse fixture - after Atalanta pulled two late goals back to give the scoreline a hint of respectability - this time around, the high stakes could make it a much tighter affair. Indeed, even a single strike could decide the destiny of the points, and the sense of self-belief forged by recent comebacks can help the Rossoneri edge out La Dea and inch closer to the title. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
46.74% ( -0.09) | 25.74% ( 0.02) | 27.52% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.7% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
