| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | -2 | 50 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 26.21% | 22.26% | 51.53% |
| Both teams to score 62.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.54% | 37.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.32% | 59.68% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% | 26.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.72% | 62.28% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.25% | 14.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.03% | 42.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 2-1 @ 6.54% 1-0 @ 5.21% 2-0 @ 3.42% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 1.49% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.02% Total : 26.21% | 1-1 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 3.97% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.26% | 1-2 @ 9.55% 0-1 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 7.28% 1-3 @ 6.09% 0-3 @ 4.65% 2-3 @ 3.99% 1-4 @ 2.92% 0-4 @ 2.22% 2-4 @ 1.91% 1-5 @ 1.12% Other @ 4.2% Total : 51.53% |