Europa League

Europa League | Last 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 10, 2022 at 8pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
3 - 2
B. Leverkusen

(Atalanta BC win 4-2 on aggregate)

Malinovskyi (23'), Muriel (25', 49')
Toloi (64')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Aranguiz (11'), Diaby (63')
Bakker (73'), Wirtz (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Atalanta BC and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62
8	Atalanta BC	38	17	59
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53

Bayer Leverkusen

Last Six:

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Elversberg vs. B. Leverkusen
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	33	69
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
33.8%	26.31%	39.88%

Both teams to score 52.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.2%

51.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.44%

73.56%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.94%

29.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.03%

64.97%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.48%

25.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.63%

60.37%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 33.8%

Bayer Leverkusen 39.88%

Draw 26.31%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 9.16% 2-1 @ 7.73% 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.8%	1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 8.55% 0-2 @ 6.92% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.88%