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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 74.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 10.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
| 74.38% | 15.16% | 10.45% |
| Both teams to score 55.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.71% | 31.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.26% | 52.73% |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.87% | 7.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.03% | 25.96% |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.46% | 40.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.86% | 77.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
| 2-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 8.88% 3-1 @ 8.02% 1-0 @ 7.63% 4-0 @ 5.86% 4-1 @ 5.29% 3-2 @ 3.62% 5-0 @ 3.1% 5-1 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 2.39% 6-0 @ 1.36% 5-2 @ 1.26% 6-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.76% Total : 74.38% | 1-1 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 4.11% 0-0 @ 2.89% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.16% | 1-2 @ 3.11% 0-1 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-2 @ 1.18% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.38% Total : 10.45% |