MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 08:29:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 18, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Leverkusen logo

Mainz 05
3 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Caricol (57'), Boetius (84'), Ingvartsen (88')
Caricol (66'), Ingvartsen (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Schick (35'), Alario (74')
Adli (31'), Demirbay (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Mainz 05 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen

Whilst Mainz have been very impressive this season, and appear to have rediscovered some form in February, a rampant Bayer side will surely prove too much for them. The visitors do not have the strongest defence in the league so we can see Mainz getting on the scoreboard, but it will likely be two or three for Leverkusen. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawBayer Leverkusen
36.45%24.92%38.62%
Both teams to score 58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.67%45.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.33%67.67%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58%24.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.16%58.83%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74%23.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81%57.18%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 36.45%
    Bayer Leverkusen 38.62%
    Draw 24.92%
Mainz 05DrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.23%
1-0 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 5.65%
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 36.45%
1-1 @ 11.67%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 8.52%
0-1 @ 8.28%
0-2 @ 6.04%
1-3 @ 4.14%
0-3 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 2.92%
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.07%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 38.62%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs B. Leverkusen

Mainz 05
11.0%
Draw
9.8%
Bayer Leverkusen
79.1%
163
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
B. Leverkusen
1-0
Mainz
Wirtz (62')
Tah (11'), Diaby (44'), Bakker (83'), Alario (90+3')

Lucoqui (44'), Stach (69'), Jae-sung (86')
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Mainz
Alario (14'), Schick (84')
Tah (3'), Wendell (13'), Tapsoba (67'), Schick (68'), Fosu-Mensah (82')
Glatzel (89'), Stoger (90+2')
Stoger (90+4')
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Mainz
0-1
B. Leverkusen

Latza (75'), Fernandes (85'), Ji (86')
Alario (30')
Bender (57')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Mainz
0-1
B. Leverkusen
Alario (93')
Wendell (58')
Wendell (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26224066184870
2Bayern MunichBayern26193478314760
3Stuttgart26182660312956
4Borussia DortmundDortmund26148453322150
5RB Leipzig26154760322849
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26101064235740
7Augsburg269894342135
8Hoffenheim2696114450-633
9Freiburg2696113648-1233
10Werder Bremen2686123541-630
11Heidenheim2678113544-929
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26610104650-428
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2684142542-1728
14Wolfsburg2667133144-1325
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum26510113054-2425
16Mainz 05Mainz26310132246-2419
17FC Koln2639142047-2718
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2627172665-3913


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