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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 17.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Augsburg |
62.27% | 19.9% | 17.83% |
Both teams to score 58.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.87% | 37.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.67% | 59.33% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.55% | 11.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.74% | 36.25% |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.84% | 34.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.15% | 70.85% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.19% 1-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 7.13% 3-0 @ 6.64% 4-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 3.83% 4-0 @ 3.6% 4-2 @ 2.08% 5-1 @ 1.68% 5-0 @ 1.56% Other @ 4.38% Total : 62.27% | 1-1 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 5.3% 0-0 @ 3.91% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.9% | 1-2 @ 4.89% 0-1 @ 4.2% 0-2 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.83% Total : 17.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 74 | 19 | 55 | 79 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 82 | 36 | 46 | 63 |
3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 56 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 57 | 34 | 23 | 56 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 42 |
7 | Augsburg | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 39 |
8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 36 |
10 | Heidenheim | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 34 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 31 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 29 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 28 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 27 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 26 |
17 | FC Koln | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 14 |
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