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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Jan 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Augsburg logo

B. Leverkusen
5 - 1
Augsburg

Bellarabi (9'), Diaby (24', 65', 69'), Alario (81')
Bellarabi (6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Maier (62')
Pedersen (43'), Uduokhai (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Augsburg

Leverkusen will be expected to win comfortably on Saturday, with their visitors enduring poor form on the road this season and a dreadful record against their opponents overall. Schick will be hoping to continue his fine form in front of goal, and we expect him to be amongst the scorers in a dominant Leverkusen display. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 17.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAugsburg
62.27%19.9%17.83%
Both teams to score 58.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.87%37.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.67%59.33%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.55%11.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.74%36.25%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84%34.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15%70.85%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 62.27%
    Augsburg 17.83%
    Draw 19.9%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 9.19%
1-0 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 7.13%
3-0 @ 6.64%
4-1 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 3.83%
4-0 @ 3.6%
4-2 @ 2.08%
5-1 @ 1.68%
5-0 @ 1.56%
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 62.27%
1-1 @ 9.1%
2-2 @ 5.3%
0-0 @ 3.91%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.9%
1-2 @ 4.89%
0-1 @ 4.2%
0-2 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 17.83%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Augsburg

Bayer Leverkusen
88.2%
Draw
9.8%
Augsburg
2.0%
51
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Augsburg
1-4
B. Leverkusen
Iago (3' og.), Niederlechner (14' og.), Schick (75'), Wirtz (81')
Demirbay (66')
Feb 21, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 22
Augsburg
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Tapsoba (90+5')
Tapsoba (32'), Aranguiz (39'), Diaby (88'), Fosu-Mensah (89')
Oct 26, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
B. Leverkusen
3-1
Augsburg
Alario (16' pen., 74'), Diaby (90+4')
Alario (78')
Caligiuri (51')
Framberger (15'), Vargas (77')
Feb 23, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Augsburg
Diaby (25'), Amiri (59')
Tapsoba (20'), Wendell (62')

Khedira (15'), Gouweleeuw (20'), Jedvaj (32'), Baier (72')
Sep 28, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Augsburg
0-3
B. Leverkusen

Max (19'), Lichtsteiner (45'), Vargas (63'), Schieber (75')
Niederlechner (34' og.), Volland (76'), Havertz (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
7Werder Bremen146442224-222
8Wolfsburg146353125621
9Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
11Stuttgart135532623320
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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