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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
BayArena
Hoffenheim logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Hoffenheim

Schick (37', 63')
Diaby (21'), Odilon (60'), Tapsoba (85'), Hincapie (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Stiller (80'), Dabour (83')
Rudy (21'), Raum (28'), Dabour (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.8%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHoffenheim
55.8%21.08%23.12%
Both teams to score 62.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.02%34.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.03%56.97%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.43%12.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.35%38.65%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05%27.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.42%63.58%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 55.8%
    Hoffenheim 23.12%
    Draw 21.08%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 7.56%
1-0 @ 7.29%
3-1 @ 6.66%
3-0 @ 5.22%
3-2 @ 4.24%
4-1 @ 3.45%
4-0 @ 2.71%
4-2 @ 2.2%
5-1 @ 1.43%
5-0 @ 1.12%
4-3 @ 0.94%
5-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 55.8%
1-1 @ 9.29%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 3.51%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.08%
1-2 @ 5.92%
0-1 @ 4.48%
0-2 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.61%
1-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 23.12%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim

Bayer Leverkusen
62.7%
Draw
17.3%
Hoffenheim
20.0%
110