Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.8%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.